Republicans Set to Dominate Midterms

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Republicans are in a great position to reclaim the majority in the House of Representatives. Democrats are observing with growing dread as rezoning becomes more aggressive.

Meanwhile, a varied lineup of candidates are raising record-breaking sums of money and the political climate continues to improve for Republicans.


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A Massive Comeback

Last Tuesday, the GOP saw the beginnings of an overflowing suburban comeback from Virginia, New Jersey, and New York. They also saw the potential end of Democrats’ reign, including as many as five liberal incumbents in several other areas, thanks to punitive new congressional maps.

Conservatives were also plotting to solidify their lead underneath the surface. Last week, a leading Republican polling firm received more inquiries from possible congressional candidates than it received in the first ten months of the year.

On Capitol Hill, some 30 centrist incumbents met to explore how to emulate Virginia Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin’s strategy in swing districts across the country. In a note to supporters, the top House Republican super PAC pledged to compete in every district redder than Virginia, where President Joe Biden won by ten points.

“We’ve certainly been seeing that in our research,” said Dan Conston, head of the Congressional Leadership Committee, who drafted the memo.

“Tuesday’s election was real proof the political situation is, in fact, as favorable as we think it is. The map has grown and will continue to grow deep into Democratic territory. We’re looking into a number of seats where Biden won by more than 7%.”

Republican politicians are well-positioned to recapture the gavel just three years after losing it in an anti-Trump uprising. A year before the midterm elections, this is the case, barring a radical shift in the ideological winds that even the most hopeful Democrat politicians aren’t expecting.


The Red Wave

“You have to presume there’s a tsunami out there that needs to be beaten,” Democrat Rep. Kweisi Mfume remarked. “So I’m not sure. I’ll battle tooth and nail to retain the majority here. However, I’m also considering the realities of the situation.”

Conservatives in North Carolina passed new electoral districts last week, effectively dooming first-term Democrat Senator Kathy Manning. This also put Democrat Rep. G.K. Butterfield in a district that Biden only won by a few votes.

After the 2022 midterms, the GOP might govern as many as 11 of the legislature’s 14 districts. Republican lawmakers in Ohio revealed draft political maps that, by 2023, may limit Democrats to just two of the government’s 15 district lines.

While the final setup isn’t established, most political agents can’t see a map that keeps Democrat Rep. Tim Ryan’s seat (which he gave up to run for Senate, instead of waiting for a draconian redistricting) or U.S. Rep. Marcy Kaptur’s existing district, which stretches 141 miles along Lake Erie’s shoreline.