Should China Invade Taiwan – Will Biden Respond?

As China tightens its grip on Taiwan, speculation grows around the world about how the United States would react if the People’s Republic launched a full-fledged ground takeover of Taiwan.

The underlying treaty between the US and Taiwan is vague on the subject; therefore, succeeding American governments have been lukewarm about whether an occurrence would provoke a U.S. military reaction of some form.

However, if the Western response consisted solely of diplomatic rebukes and no direct combat aid, it would be viewed by the rest of the world as an embarrassing retreat by the US. This will have devastating consequences for our regional allies, particularly Australia, Japan, and South Korea.

It could possibly be considered a watershed moment when China overtook the United States as that of the world’s largest most powerful and influential nation. Just a small percentage of West haters would be happy to see the United States so largely stigmatized and disheartened across the globe. 

This would be a fitting conclusion to President Richard Nixon’s famed appeal of the poor, defenseless giant. The last summit in Alaska that did not exude confidence in American replies to wild Chinese provocation.

We have our doubts that the Biden government would act purposefully in such a situation

It seems to be the world’s largest resource of assurance that the Afghan government will withstand the departure of an almost insignificant 3,500 American military personnel. The United States’ timid reaction to Chinese atrocities in Hong Kong are not promising.

The attitude of the nation’s senior executive class, as well as retired military commanders, looks to be more strongly focused on criticizing the US. Similarly, our State Department’s recent call to the United Nations to examine alleged systematic racism in the United States does not express American mission or uniqueness.

The Military Strategy

A full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the Chinese government would pose a significant tactical challenge. Taiwan has a strong, well-equipped, and highly competent Army and Air Force. China would need complete air and naval dominance to transport the 750,000 soldiers necessary to beachheads on Taiwan in landing craft, which Beijing does not appear to have at this time.

It would be unforgivably hazardous for the US to place a Nimitz class aircraft carrier within the range of China’s most lethal surface-to-surface missile systems; however the interference of a large group of U.S. planes, drones, and missiles to disrupt the invasion’s shipping lane and competition the sky above it should be enough to prevent an effective attack.

Chinas loss and humiliation of an audacious and aggressive attempt would be a far bigger disgrace for that nation and government than the United States would suffer if it simply shrugged and let it happen.

In all of these conditions, we were united that the Biden government is doing all possible to prevent any appearance of having a steadfast deterrent capability, even if we were not entirely in agreement throughout our conversation.